The UK has been in some form of lockdown since 23rd March. It’s impossible to know for sure what impact that had on the spread of the Coronavirus. It is, however, very clear that it has had a significant impact on people’s finances. The challenge now is to transition back into “business as usual” while still supporting those who need a bit of extra help.
The economic impact of COVID19 (so far)
Over 10 million people have received financial assistance through the Coronavirus Job Retention Scheme (about 8 million) or Self-Employed Income Support Scheme. The CJRS was due to close at the end of July but has now been extended until the end of October. That said, the nature of the scheme is due to change slightly.
At present, the government is paying 80% of salaries up to £2500 per month and employers may (or may not) top this up to the full amount. Employers cannot ask furloughed employees to do any work for them, but employees can take second jobs and/or freelance. From August, employers will start to have to make contributions towards the scheme, but they can also start bringing employees back to work on a part-time basis. Alternatively, they could make them redundant.
Only time will tell, but, at present, it is impossible to rule out the possibility that the requiring employers to contribute directly to the furlough scheme (as opposed to indirectly through taxes) will lead to businesses reassessing their staffing needs and potentially deciding to cut back. This means that lenders may need to be prepared for more borrowers getting into difficulty, if only temporarily.
FCA measures to protect mortgage holders
Since March, both residential and buy-to-let mortgage-holders have been able to request mortgage holidays (provided that they were up-to-date with payments). Initially, these were for up to three months. In June, the FCA extended the respite period to the end of October.
Although payments are stopped, interest continues to accrue (unless the lender agrees to waive it which they are not obligated to do).
Provided that borrowers follow the correct procedure (i.e. agree the holiday with their lender rather than just cancelling payments), the payment break will be ignored by the credit-scoring agencies.
At the end of the holiday period, the borrower and the lender have to agree on a way forward. In particular, they need to establish whether the borrower can afford to go back on a standard repayment plan. If so, they need to determine how the borrower will make up the missed payments (e.g. by adding them to their regular payments or by extending the mortgage term). If not, they need to work out what potential solutions are available.
A cautious note of optimism
Although the post-Coronavirus environment could be a challenging one for lenders to navigate, it does not have to be a disaster. There are grounds for at least cautious optimism. For example, according to statistics from the Bank of England, during April, consumers paid back a record £7.4 billion in consumer credit and also increased deposits in banks and building societies by £37.3 billion.
The fact that people were able to make these payments shows that some people at least had some level of income over and above what they needed to cover their basic necessities.
There are still people in work and as more businesses reopen more people should be able to get back into earning money through active employment (as opposed to through support schemes). Even where jobs are lost, the employees in question may have savings and/or insurance to help tide them over. They may also receive redundancy payments to ease the transition.
Your property may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on your mortgage.
The FCA does not regulate some forms of buy to let mortgages.
The FCA does not regulate letting agents and we act as introducers for them.