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The New Lockdown and Mortgages

The New Lockdown and Mortgages

Way back in March, when the first lockdown was announced, the government worked with the financial-services sector to soften the impact on the public.  The measures announced then have technically just finished (on Halloween).  Now, however, another lockdown has been announced and with it a new package of measures.  Here’s what you need to know.

The rules for the first lockdown

In short, the government made it clear that it expected lenders to accommodate borrowers who were struggling due to COVID19.  This edict applied pretty much across the board from overdrafts and credit cards to mortgages, including buy-to-let mortgages.

On the one hand, this accommodation wasn’t necessarily as generous as the headlines might have led you to believe.  In simple terms, lenders were often obligated to allow borrowers to skip payments.  They did, however, generally have the right to keep charging interest.

On the other hand, it was usually fairly easy to qualify for the support.  In some cases, it was enough just to self-certify that your income had been hit by COVID19.  What’s more, the government stated that taking a payment holiday for COVID19-related reasons shouldn’t be recorded on a borrower’s credit record.

What was supposed to happen next?

The package of measures introduced for the first lockdown technically ended on Halloween.  After this, lenders were supposed to show forbearance to those in financial difficulty and work to find a tailored solution.  In other words, it was essentially business as usual, although probably with a higher level of people needing help.

This would have meant that going forward, people would have needed to have gone through the usual assessment process before being offered any help.  It would also have meant that any measures would have been reflected on their credit score.

Appropriately enough, however, Halloween was also the day the government announced the new lockdown.  Fortunately, the new lockdown came with a new package of measures and it is possible that further measures will be announced.

What will happen next?

The furlough scheme has been extended at its original rate of 80% of wages.  Hopefully, this in itself will be enough to help the majority of people cover their housing costs, be that rent or a mortgage.  Both the government and the Financial Conduct Authority have made it clear that anyone who can continue to pay should do so.

The government has also announced that mortgage payment holidays are being extended.  There is, however, a catch.  Mortgage holidays were only due to last up to six months.  This means that anyone who applied for one at the start of the pandemic is not guaranteed to be given one now.  Their lender might agree to it but they are not obliged to do so.

Similarly, anyone who took out a mortgage payment holiday at a later stage can only extend it up to a maximum of six months.  After this, as the rules currently stand, they would be treated essentially the same way as anyone else in financial difficulty.

What might happen next?

This is a huge question, but there are some key points which potentially stand out.  Firstly, the new lockdown could be cancelled, or at least reduced.  The lockdown has been announced by the government but not, yet, agreed by parliament.

Secondly, if the lockdown does go ahead in any form, especially its current one, it’s possible that further support measures may be offered.  These could include an extension of the mortgage payment holiday and/or an extension of the Stamp Duty holiday, to make it easier for people to sell properties they could not afford to people who could.

There is also the possibility that payment holidays will be offered on other products, such as overdrafts, loans and credit cards.  This might make it easier to prioritise mortgage repayments.

Your property may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on your mortgage.

 

So you want to be a first-time buyer?

So you want to be a first-time buyer?

If you’re a potential first-time buyer then you may currently be very confused by all the headlines regarding the health, or otherwise, of the property market.  There’s an easy way to deal with this confusion – ignore them.  Focus on the fact that homes are meant to be places where you live.  The fact that they also tend to increase in value over the long term is simply a useful bonus.

With that in mind, here are some questions you should be asking yourself before deciding whether or not to aim to buy now or wait until later.

Am I 100% sure I can service a mortgage over the next 5+ years?

When it comes to mortgages (and by extension home-buying), this is the key question.  Ideally, you should be confident that you can service a mortgage over the entire term (without having to sell your home).  In the real world, however, the length of mortgage terms means that it’s close to impossible to know what you’ll be doing (financially or otherwise) at the latter part of them.  You should, however, be totally confident about what you’re doing for the next five years and if you’re not, then you’re probably better off renting.

Remember that buying a home and being unable to keep up with your mortgage can work out a very expensive and painful experience particularly if you end up in negative equity (owing more than your house is worth).  You are especially vulnerable in the first five years or so of ownership.  This is not only the time when you’ll have the least equity in your home, but also the time during which you’ll still be swallowing up the purchase and moving costs.

Am I 100% sure I can commit my deposit money over the next 5+ years?

Similar comments apply here.  Once you convert your cash into bricks and mortar it stays converted until you sell your home.  Selling your home within the first five years of purchase can see you having to take a hit on the transaction costs, not to mention having to deal with a whole lot of upheaval.  In short, if putting together a deposit would leave you very short of cash, then you might be better off renting.  Even with insurance, you have to think about what would happen if you had any sort of emergency.

Do I want to stay in one place over the next 5+ years?

In principle, you have the option to buy a house, live in it for a while yourself, then let it out while you go to live elsewhere, for example, if you go to work overseas.  In practice, the amount of administration and cost this can involve means that it’s probably only worth even considering in very niche situations.

For example, you’ll have to change every product associated with your house, including your mortgage and insurance, from residential-property products to investment-property products.  You’ll also need to meet all your legal and compliance obligations regarding the maintenance of the property and the welfare of your tenants.

This means that these days, you should buy a property on the assumption that you’ll be living in it yourself until you’re ready to sell it.  If you’re thinking of letting your property on a non-residential basis (for example allowing holiday rentals for part of the year) and/or having a lodger, then you would need to check with your mortgage lender and your insurance provider(s) to make sure that this would be acceptable to them.

For completeness, if you are thinking of using your main home as a holiday let for part of the year, then you should also check with your local council to make sure that this is permitted.

Your property may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on your mortgage.

Is the UK property market still holding on?

Is the UK property market still holding on?

Prior to the lockdown, average house prices were predicted to rise by up to15% over the next five years.  With COVID19 having sent the world into a tailspin, that might now be overly optimistic.  It does, however, seem reasonable to expect the housing market to hold on and possibly even see growth.  This is because the same positive factors still largely apply.

The “Brexit bounce”.

Houses are long-term purchases.  There are lots of reasons for this, but most of them revolve around the fact that buying one usually involves a number of up-front costs and, it has to be said, corresponding administrative work.

This means that you generally want to be sure that you can stay in one for at least five years before you even contemplate a purchase, especially if you’re a first-time buyer and hence potentially qualify for special help.

Additionally, the fact that most buyers need mortgages means that they have to think carefully about their ability to service a mortgage over at least five years (which will be checked by a lender in any case).

For all of these reasons (and more), the extended delay over implementing the result of the Brexit referendum has really acted as a strong brake on the housing market.  Hopefully, the fact that Brexit is now finally happening (regardless of your views on it), will allow both potential buyers and potential sellers to make plans in which they can have some degree of confidence.

Admittedly, this does depend on finding a post-COVID19 “new normal” but the signs are that this appears to be happening already.  The lockdown is easing, businesses are reopening and while the economic situation remains challenging, there at least appears to be light at the end of the tunnel.

Significant investment in transport infrastructure

HS2 is, at the very least, delayed, and it will be interesting to see whether COVID19 will force the government to cancel it (or give them a face-saving reason to cancel it).  Even if HS2 is cancelled, there is still very likely to be a focus on continuing to develop the infrastructure in the north of England.  This will be partly for economic reasons (to encourage growth in the area) and partly for political ones (to hold on to electoral gains).

On that note, the expansion of Manchester Airport is already going ahead.  In principle, the third runway at Heathrow should also go ahead, but there is always the possibility that this will be cancelled, possibly to placate those who are opposed to HS2 on cost and/or environmental grounds.  Crossrail, however, is already underway.

Since none of these developments is complete (in fact neither HS2 nor the third runway at Heathrow are actually under construction yet), it’s impossible to say what specific benefits they will bring.  It is, however, fair to say that improvements to infrastructure, especially transport infrastructure often lead to increased house prices along the route, particularly near to stops.

Economic stability (possibly growth)

The fact that the “Northern Irish issue” appears to have been resolved (or, at the very least, that there is a path to resolution), should hopefully make it much easier for there to be a smooth transition out of the EU.

It is probably fair to say that the EU’s desire to encourage members to remain in the block rather than going it alone will have to be balanced with a pragmatic approach to keeping trade flowing between the UK and the single market.  It’s definitely fair to say that the UK has long traded on a global basis and hence should be able to continue to do so successfully.  If this is the case and there is, at least, economic stability, then this is likely to have a positive impact on the housing market.

Your property may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on your mortgage.

 

Will the housing market avoid a slump?

Will the housing market avoid a slump?

When the Coronavirus hit, the housing market was forcibly brought to a halt. Now that restrictions are being lifted, it is starting to come back to life. This raises the question of whether it’s going to bounce back or whether there is going to be a housing market slump. This week’s Stamp Duty announcement will certainly play a large part in how the market develops.

Where now for the UK’s economy

Unless you can afford to pay cash for a property, your ability to buy one will depend on your ability to get a mortgage. If you want a mortgage, you will need to show your lender how you intend to repay it.

Unless you have a reliable income from sources other than work, this effectively means that your lender has to be happy that you have a decent chance of earning a living over the mortgage term. This starts with you having a decent chance of earning a living over the immediate future.

In short, therefore, the health of the UK’s housing market is likely to be closely tied to the overall health of the UK’s economy.

The economic impact of COVID19

On the one hand, it’s hard to describe the economic havoc wrought by COVID19. According to the Bank of England, the UK came close to insolvency. Some of the businesses which closed their doors to lockdown will never reopen them again. Admittedly, some of these closures might have happened regardless of the lockdown, but some of them might have survived.

It’s anyone’s guess how many more businesses will close and whether or not they would have survived if it hadn’t been for lockdown. Even if businesses do survive, they may be forced to cut back on their workforce. This will not necessarily mean redundancies. It could also mean steps such as cutting back on hiring, eliminating overtime or reducing hours for zero-hours workers or increasing the workload on in-house staff instead of hiring freelancers.

On the other hand, COVID19 has seen stories not just of businesses adapting to survive, but even succeeding in adverse circumstances. For example, according to research from Tamebay, UK SMEs actually increased their exports during the lockdown.

Non-essential businesses are starting to reopen and, where necessary, they are making adaptations to their business to ensure that staff and customers are protected from COVID19. Hopefully, these measures will not only prevent a resurgence of the virus but also serve as a form of protection against future pandemics.

Hopefully, therefore, the worst is now over and the UK can focus on moving down the path to economic recovery. If this is the case, then it is good news for the housing market.

The economic impact of Brexit

Only time will tell what impact Brexit will have on the UK’s economy. In this instance, however, businesses (and the public) have been given plenty of notice regarding the fact that it is going to happen (arguably four years worth of notice).

They also have at least some idea of the worst-case scenario, i.e. the UK leaves without a deal. This means that they have at least some opportunity to prepare for it, even if they are not happy about it. Hopefully, this means that any “transitional bumps” will be minor and short-term, at least in the general scale of the UK’s economy.

If this is the case, then the final arrival of Brexit may actually be a relief for the property market. Right now, people cannot know where Brexit will leave them. This means that they may not be confident committing to a major purchase, such as a new home. Getting clarity on what Brexit actually means in practice may put at least some people in a better position to make informed decisions on whether or not they are in a position to buy in the near future.

Your property may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on your mortgage.

 

Are you a mortgage prisoner?

Are you a mortgage prisoner?

The fact that mortgage lenders are now expected to apply fairly stringent “affordability criteria” to borrowers is probably, overall, a positive.  It is, however, not necessarily a benefit to everyone.  The media has been quick to pick up on the situation of “mortgage prisoners”, sadly lenders and the FCA seem to have been rather slow to respond, although they do appear to be getting there (at long last).

What is a mortgage prisoner?

A mortgage prisoner is essentially someone who is unable to remortgage.  It is often used to refer to people who cannot switch to cheaper deals because they are now considered to be unable to afford them even though they are currently paying more on their mortgage.

It may also be used to refer to people who have had a change in circumstances which does not necessarily impact their ability to pay but does cause them to fall outside standard lending policy, for example, people who’ve recently become self-employed.

The issue of people on interest-only mortgages is a more nuanced one as they would be likely to need to switch from a cheaper deal (i.e. only paying the interest) to a more expensive one, which might quite reasonably raise questions about affordability.  While acknowledging that the end effect is the same, the route there is definitely somewhat different.

How to break out of financial jail

Regardless of your situation, your first port of call should ideally be a professional mortgage broker.  If the issue is simply that you are a “round peg in a square hole” then they may be able to bypass computer algorithms and get your application in front of an actual human who can apply human judgement and common sense.  Alternatively, they may be able to point you towards lenders who can apply a bit of flexibility.

For example, if you are currently on an interest-only mortgage and you want to switch to a repayment mortgage knowing that you cannot afford it over the long term (e.g. after retirement), but simply wanting to build up equity in the property and to have control over when, exactly, you sell it to downsize, then a mortgage broker may be able to assist in finding a lender who can work with that.

Another option (depending on your age) might be to extend the term of an interest-only mortgage to the point where you can use equity release to pay off the principal.  Depending on the type of equity release you choose, you might then be able to pay off some or all of the principal (and/or interest) and/or downsize, so you avoid dying with debts on your estate.  Having said that, if you get a “no negative equity guarantee” then the extent of your estate’s liability will be limited to the value of your home after your death so that may not be a huge issue for you.

How to make yourself more attractive to mortgage lenders

A mortgage broker can help you to make the most of what you have, and the more you give them to work with, the easier it will be for them to help you.  There are three key factors which determine how attractive you look to a mortgage lender.  The first is your credit score and the second is your loan to value ratio, which can also influence affordability (the more you can pay upfront, the less you have to find in monthly repayments) and, of course, affordability.

There is lots of advice online about improving your credit score.  In the context of remortgaging, improving your loan to value ratio basically means either paying down your mortgage to reduce the amount you need to borrow on a new mortgage or increasing the value of your home.  If you have any spare cash, it may be worth looking into the latter approach to see if it increases your options.

Your property may be repossessed if you do not keep up repayments on your mortgage.

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